POL NEWS : Mog Bonanza ??? a must do event !

anyone else notice how they typo d AA on rank 2-3 ?
 
lol dont joke about it
i recently found out my friend's parents are investors in an RMT website. it was funny when she was explaining it to me

"yeah my parents invested in some guy, who sells game money or something"

i was quite shocked hahaha
 
Zephayra said:
I have some signed love chocolate I'll give you, just to save your money.
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That would take away the fun of ruining this though:

Man: You can't put a price on our love
Jamal buys heart from bazaar
Woman: WHERE IS MY HEART
Man: I guess everyone has a price!
 
Are you guys going to choose your own numbers or do quick pick?
 
quick pick for my chars then let my friend choose hers for hers
 
Quixk pick all the way for me. That's how my neighbour won 98,000.
 
imperial wootz ingot should have been a rank 4 prize
 
Be funny to see someone's lv 5 mule win some Homam gear, give them a reason to level it to 75 then. :)
 
Jeska said:
Be funny to see someone's lv 5 mule win some Homam gear, give them a reason to level it to 75 then. :)
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Again, you get to pick. So all mule winners should be taking gil
 
Dejavu said:
there will probably be less than 3 people who will win a rank 1 or 2 item

if 10000 people play maybe one will win a top teir item and only 1 out of 1000 people will win a second teir item.

The price of everything that comes from teir 4 items will go down seeing as 1 and 10 people who get all 10 marbles will win it.

but there needs to be a strategy to the way that you pick your numbers
you should pick the same 4 first numbers and make the last one all of the numbers 1-10

That way you guarantee yourself an xp scroll and have a 1/10 chance of getting the last 2 numbers.

With this strategy you will basically make it a 4 number one chance draw. where its 1/10000 chance to get the top teir item. and you get an Xp scroll or better just for playing.
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Mathematically, the expected value does not change whatsoever irrelevant if you go with this strategy or pick random #s. For example, if you have 10 eggs with the last digit all different you will be guaranteed one and only one xp scroll. But you basically have a probability of 0 on obtaining 2, 3, 4, or whatever (of course the chances are lower but they come out to the same at the end EV wise) xp scrolls.

What your strategy does is it minimizes variance assuming your end goal is to 'at least get something out of your investment'. Just like in a real life lottery - this represents a mathematical game where the 'big prize' is so astronomically larger than the entry fee, that I rather gamble it big and accept a wider variance. Let's just say if I'm going to get real lucky and get a rank 1 prize, I'm going to get more than just 1 copy of that rank 1 prize. It's in my blood. :ph34r:

100m x2? {Yes, Please}. :cool:

[Side note - in real life lotteries rarely come out to be positive expectations and it's a suckers/dreamers game. But if my quick math on the prize pool isn't way off, this is actually a decently lucrative +EV proposition that SE is offering us. Time to level a bunch of characters to level 5]

~Tanshui
 
Tyrath said:
Again, you get to pick. So all mule winners should be taking gil
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Nice but I still have my suspicions if they'll just give a lv 5 mule the chance to get 100 million gil, they could quite well be supporting the very rmt's they are attempting to remove.
 
I always joked that we needed to win the Vana'diel (power) (ball)

..But I was mostly kidding in the non realistic sense <_>;

Think I am more excited over the rare ex items more then the gil. shiny!
 
Yeah, chances are that RMT are going to win a fair number of monetary prizes in this lottery.

As far as numbers go, the logical way to do it would be to pick the last numbers so that you're guaranteed to at least get a Memoir. You can random it up on mules, since it won't make a huge difference if your level 5 gardening mule randomly gets a Memoir they can't use for 15 levels anyway.
 
Man, I might actually log on for this shit. Then quit again with a 100+ Mill on me XD

I plan on just buying tickets from my main. I'm not going to be a dickweed to make sure I win.
 
raes if you buy a rank 1 ticket and it doesn't win doesn't that mean you have a shot for that ticket at the other tiers or just that ticket?

I thought the concept applied in the same way as slot machines(read: win something for paying for the thing, ie you pick 3 lines and only get 2 you get something).

not too familiar with lottery stuff
 
your odds are as good as the real lottery, don't go spending your entire welfare checks!
But yeah zomg the reward I'm definitely spending my whole welfare check!
 
K. Ishitar said:
raes if you buy a rank 1 ticket and it doesn't win doesn't that mean you have a shot for that ticket at the other tiers or just that ticket?

I thought the concept applied in the same way as slot machines(read: win something for paying for the thing, ie you pick 3 lines and only get 2 you get something).

not too familiar with lottery stuff
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I'd assume it would be 1 winning number.

example: 12345 is the winning number from SE.

If your ticket was 12345 you'd win rank 1
If your ticket was 22345 you'd win rank 2
If your ticket was 23345 you'd win rank 3
If your ticket was 23445 you'd win rank 4
If your ticket was 23455 you'd win rank 5
 
Tristam Green said:
All I'm worried about is "what will this do to the ingame economy" (re: kclub prices), should someone say, win 10 rank 1 prizes >.>
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Fix it. This is similar to what I was saying before about SE needing to reintroduce gil into the servers. I like it.
 
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