POL NEWS : Mog Bonanza ??? a must do event !

Assuming you purchase 10 marbles with different numbers, you have just about a 1 in 10000 chance (closer to 1 in 10000.45 or so, but that's hardly a significant difference at that point) of winning 100 million gil (or other such rare/ex shiny) for your 10000 gil investment.

So basically, assuming 10000 people enter and spend 10000 gil each (meaning 100 million gil gets spent), an average of one person will win the grand prize. Obviously, this won't be exactly one person, and the same person can purchase the same number more than once, and so on, so it won't be a uniform distribution or anything. But that's the overall expected odds.

In other words, it's break-even odds. Which is better than you'll see in an RL lottery, but still so low that it'd be totally unreasonable to *expect* to win, and kind of a pipe dream to even *hope* to win.

Just for a dose of unwanted realism. You may now resume your previously scheduled fantasies of what you would choose.

EDIT: Note that these calculations are only for the grand prize. The existence of consolation prizes means that the overall result will be more gil coming into the game than leaving it.
 
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/hopes he wins
 
"appallingly affluent adventurers"

I'm glad SE has realized what they have created.
 
Holy shit, lol.
 
I need 100mil gil just to feed my illegitimate ffxi children for a month...

/em crosses fingers
 
jamal said:
That would take away the fun of ruining this though:

Man: You can't put a price on our love
Jamal buys heart from bazaar
Woman: WHERE IS MY HEART
Man: I guess everyone has a price!
Click to expand...

But if you had some free signed love chocolate, you could put it in your bazaar for 99,999,999 and make a profit!
 
jamal said:
A guy can dream :)
Click to expand...

qft...

On topic: I couldn't believe my eyes when I first saw this. I might actually get out of being poor now with my small 41k gil if I am lucky XD (I had 49 gil total yesterday, no joke O_o)
 
can i wear my armada for my red mage?
 
Gerry said:
qft...

On topic: I couldn't believe my eyes when I first saw this. I might actually get out of being poor now with my small 41k gil if I am lucky XD (I had 49 gil total yesterday, no joke O_o)
Click to expand...

OR, Or you can blow up your whole life savings of 41k on gambling the lotto... Like i'm about to do...
 
Man, if I won I wonder what I'd take. The gil, or the Dalmy +1. Gil would help me wear Hq everything but a Dalmy +1 has so much Epeen...
 
Myrrh said:
Man, if I won I wonder what I'd take. The gil, or the Dalmy +1. Gil would help me wear Hq everything but a Dalmy +1 has so much Epeen...
Click to expand...

Remember a little quote from YGO Abridged though, if you take the epeen you won't be able to say:

"Screw the rules I have Money!!!"

^_^
 
Gerry said:
Remember a little quote from YGO Abridged though, if you take the epeen you won't be able to say:

"Screw the rules I have Money!!!"

^_^
Click to expand...

Screw the rules I have armadaberk is a helluva lot cooler.
 
An armadaberk is less cool on ragnarok then on quetzy sir traitor sir. just the way it is.
 
I would be pretty hard pressed to take anything in that first tire other than the gil. Thats enough to buy yourself a relic and possibly have something left over. Doesn't get more epeen that that.
 
I'd either go for the gil, or Futsuno to be like "Hey, look what I have that almost no one has!"
 
go for the gil and just but a futso when SE actually releases how to kill AV.

I'm amused by the wait time since for once SE might be using some brains and taking 1 month to double check on if the winner is an RMT or not.
 
Or it could be like my brother said, makin people level mules so they can get a shitload more money for the next two months. But it could be both, since you do have a point.
 
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